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The U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, surpassing projections as the Trump administration celebrated a fourth consecutive month ...
The ‘ceteris paribus’ assumption of long-term forecasting tends to blind analysts to inevitable shifts in the political sphere, and nowhere is this more apparent than with China projections.
At around 8:25 p.m. ET on Election Night, Carney's chances of becoming the next prime minister after the election had fallen to around 56% at Polymarket. The odds on Kalshi similarly tumbled.
Canada Election Prediction Map Offers Good News for Mark Carney Published Apr 24, 2025 at 11:32 AM EDT Updated Apr 24, 2025 at 3:28 PM EDT By Martha McHardy ...
Instead of economists and political pollsters, the exhibition discusses predictions made using the stars, or children’s games, or, most strikingly, large Cameroonian spiders.
In 2024, religious leaders predicted economic hardship and eventual recovery, major political changes, breakthroughs in national security, and a year of divine intervention for the country ...
Still, other people maintain the knowledge gained from the prediction market is more valuable than the potential downsides. “Economists took both sides of this,” Jones said.
Jared Bernstein, the chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, was a leading architect of “Bidenomics.” By Talmon Joseph Smith Since the election, Jared Bernstein, the chair of ...
Outspoken, long-term-perspective economist Harry Dent is sticking to his "crash of a lifetime" prediction for 2025, arguing that President-elect Trump can't stop the best remedy: a recession.
Robinhood Markets' new election prediction market has quickly become popular, with CEO Vlad Tenev positioning it as a groundbreaking tool for real-time news consumption and a future expansion into ...
Prediction markets passed a closely watched test by correctly forecasting that Donald Trump would win the election. Their future is more difficult to predict. History shows that prediction markets ...
Allan Lichtman is used to being right. In fact, he's been right about who'll win each of the previous 10 presidential elections except one. On Tuesday, he was wrong again for the first time since ...
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