The ‘ceteris paribus’ assumption of long-term forecasting tends to blind analysts to inevitable shifts in the political sphere, and nowhere is this more apparent than with China projections.

The Industry Actually, Maybe Degenerate Gamblers Can’t Predict Elections The prediction market Kalshi scored a big legal win early this month, but that doesn’t mean it’s good for our democracy.

I’m an Economist: Here’s My Prediction for Social Security Under Trump June 10, 2025 — 11:01 am EDT Written by Terence Loose for GOBankingRates -> ...

GOBankingRates spoke with an economics professor about the impact that Trump’s second term could have on the Federal Reserve and household earnings for full-time, year-round workers. Dennis Shirshikov ...

NEW JERSEY’s gubernatorial election, held in odd-numbered years following presidential contests, offers an early measure of how Donald Trump is faring and how upcoming mid-term elections for ...